Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 325.409103 369.060647 417.739050 476.292406 545.134424 623.893831 721.376797
2025-07-13 269.348027 328.551685 400.774329 496.402542 621.259200 780.942934 1004.229138
2025-07-20 241.233450 308.579790 395.766400 519.012752 692.218481 932.387941 1300.538191
2025-07-27 214.956634 285.180197 380.378750 522.102974 733.500538 1046.959771 1566.713584
2025-08-03 190.067973 259.523957 357.198510 508.829609 746.377047 1119.042757 1780.271861
2025-08-10 171.144219 239.585478 338.961704 499.058346 761.167974 1194.126261 2012.581327
2025-08-17 161.700902 232.090401 337.645358 514.255621 816.916527 1344.806358 2413.329325
2025-08-24 149.707609 219.344811 326.601858 511.852095 841.904568 1445.315136 2742.853435
2025-08-31 138.136566 206.047258 313.119607 503.314290 854.163281 1523.588179 3045.971492
2025-09-07 130.112731 197.560899 306.415445 505.324207 885.488163 1643.613621 3472.595513
2025-09-14 120.744181 186.051311 293.513769 494.590017 890.611475 1710.892748 3794.743022
2025-09-21 114.051371 178.389508 286.377362 493.437362 914.199252 1821.305066 4257.210436
2025-09-28 104.433362 165.261634 268.953173 471.641026 893.886377 1833.964517 4475.663194
2025-10-05 102.009619 164.281271 272.947002 491.678276 965.110292 2073.389803 5420.917784
2025-10-12 100.036168 163.873474 277.849095 514.006675 1045.076970 2353.323386 6613.501560
2025-10-19 95.667312 158.825206 273.637463 517.062767 1081.551344 2531.172712 7557.567057
2025-10-26 89.700958 150.439487 262.380297 503.944405 1077.601396 2599.581464 8148.250116
2025-11-02 84.659114 143.416095 253.189814 494.286887 1080.694608 2688.912364 8863.938013
2025-11-09 82.770379 142.134857 255.114848 509.307085 1148.329440 2983.979235 10574.083915
2025-11-16 79.163840 137.341577 249.624296 506.931640 1170.438326 3146.573205 11814.605870
2025-11-23 75.220717 131.649146 241.871675 498.493355 1175.019696 3254.980793 12873.925248
2025-11-30 72.571913 128.304069 238.690448 500.479876 1208.759192 3470.005799 14618.229683
2025-12-07 68.943551 122.811729 230.621007 489.870402 1205.189054 3555.786615 15737.673769